Riding profile

Kamloops Centre

Provincial riding — BC · Interior

The question

Kamloops Centre: a safe seat for the Conservatives?

Current forecast

Con

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
10.8
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 45.8%
  • NDP 35.0%
  • GP 12.5%
  • OneBC 3.4%
  • CentreBC 3.4%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP GP OneBC
HereKamloops Centre 45.8%35.0%12.5%3.4%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +3.4 39.5% −4.6 9.9% +2.5 3.4% −0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Kamloops Centre, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 46% vote share, against 35% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Peter Milobar

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
7.9 pts
Turnout
57.6%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.9 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Peter Milobar Elected Con — 48.8 —
Kamal Grewal NDP — 40.9 —
Randy Sunderman GP — 10.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44