Riding profile

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain

Provincial riding — BC · Metro Vancouver

The question

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain: who wins this toss-up?

Current forecast

Con

Toss-up

Probability
72%
Mean margin (pts)
2.3
P(close race)
92%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 46.2%
  • NDP 44.8%
  • OneBC 3.4%
  • CentreBC 3.1%
  • GP 2.4%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP OneBC CentreBC
HereCoquitlam-Burke Mountain 46.2%44.8%3.4%3.1%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +3.8 39.5% +5.3 3.4% 3.2%

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 46% vote share, against 45% for the NDP, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Jodie Wickens

Sits with NDP

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
NDP
Margin
1.7 pts
Turnout
54.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
+0.6 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jodie Wickens Elected NDP — 50.9 —
Stephen Frolek Con — 49.1 —
Last model run
Cycle
bc_44