Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Angus and Perthshire Glens

Westminster constituency · Scotland

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the SNP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • SNP 39.3%
  • Conservative 25.8%
  • Reform UK 18.4%
  • Lib Dems 5.8%
  • Labour 3.8%
  • Green 3.7%
  • Other 3.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

SNP Conservative Reform UK Lib Dems
Angus and Perthshire Glens 39.3%25.8%18.4%5.8%
National averageUnited Kingdom 2.9%+36.4 20.4%+5.4 23.1%−4.7 10.3%−4.5

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Employment rate73.1%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Dave Doogan · SNP

In office since December 12, 2019. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The SNP won by 10.3 points.

Our current projection: the SNP ahead by 13.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Dave Doogan Elected SNP 19,142 40.4
Stephen Kerr Conservative 14,272 30.1
Elizabeth Carr-Ellis Labour 6,799 14.4
Kenneth Morton Reform UK 3,246 6.9
Claire McLaren Lib Dems 3,156 6.7
Dan Peña Other 733 1.6

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Birmingham Hall Green and MoseleyLabour50%1.2-point gap
  2. Hertford and StortfordReform UK44%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative54%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated