Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire
Westminster constituency · Scotland
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the SNP a 90% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 100%.
Compared with the average
| SNP | Lib Dems | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire | 34.2% | 32.7% | 15.5% | 7.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.9%+31.3 | 10.3%+22.4 | 23.1%−7.6 | 10.4%−3.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Employment rate | 69.6% |
|---|
Current member
Mr Angus MacDonald · Lib Dems
Previous election (2024)
The Lib Dems won by 4.5 points.
Our current projection: the SNP ahead by 1.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angus MacDonald Elected | Lib Dems | 18,159 | 37.8 |
| Drew Hendry | SNP | 15,999 | 33.3 |
| Michael Perera | Labour | 6,246 | 13.0 |
| Dillan Hill | Reform UK | 2,934 | 6.1 |
| Ruraidh Stewart | Conservative | 2,502 | 5.2 |
| Peter Newman | Green | 2,038 | 4.2 |
| Darren Paxton | Other | 178 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP, safe seat
- West Dunbartonshire SNP, safe seat
- Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP, safe seat
- Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP, safe seat
- Glasgow West SNP, safe seat
- Mid Dunbartonshire Lib Dems, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated