Dundee Central
Westminster constituency · Scotland
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the SNP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| SNP | Labour | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Central | 39.8% | 22.8% | 15.8% | 5.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 2.9%+36.9 | 24.3%−1.5 | 23.1%−7.2 | 10.3%−4.6 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Employment rate | 64.0% |
|---|
Current member
Chris Law · SNP
Previous election (2024)
The SNP won by 1.7 points.
Our current projection: the SNP ahead by 17.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Law Elected | SNP | 15,544 | 40.0 |
| Richard McCready | Labour | 14,869 | 38.3 |
| Daniel Coleman | Lib Dems | 2,402 | 6.2 |
| Vicky McCann | Reform UK | 2,363 | 6.1 |
| Emma Farquhar | Conservative | 1,569 | 4.0 |
| Alan Ross | Other | 813 | 2.1 |
| Jim McFarlane | Other | 600 | 1.5 |
| Susan Ettle | Other | 357 | 0.9 |
| Raymond Mennie | Other | 192 | 0.5 |
| Niko Omilana | Other | 139 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Glenrothes and Mid Fife SNP, safe seat
- Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP, safe seat
- Perth and Kinross-shire SNP, safe seat
- Lothian East Labour, toss-up
- Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP, safe seat
- Edinburgh North and Leith SNP, competitive
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated