Wythenshawe and Sale East
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 18.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wythenshawe and Sale East | 42.3% | 23.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+18.0 | 23.1%+0.4 | 10.4%+2.5 | 20.4%−8.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 113,145 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 37 |
| Employment rate | 82.8% |
Current member
Mike Kane · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 37.3 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 18.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Kane Elected | Labour | 20,596 | 52.6 |
| Julie Fousert | Reform UK | 5,986 | 15.3 |
| Sarah Beament | Conservative | 5,392 | 13.8 |
| Melanie Earp | Green | 4,133 | 10.6 |
| Simon Lepori | Lib Dems | 1,985 | 5.1 |
| John Barstow | Other | 714 | 1.8 |
| Hilary Salt | Other | 326 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Manchester Withington Labour, safe seat
- Manchester Rusholme Labour, safe seat
- Stretford and Urmston Labour, safe seat
- Cheadle Lib Dems, safe seat
- Altrincham and Sale West Labour, toss-up
- Stockport Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated