Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Worthing West

Westminster constituency · England · South East

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a 77% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.1 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 96%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 28.4%
  • Labour 26.5%
  • Reform UK 25.7%
  • Green 10.7%
  • Lib Dems 5.2%
  • Other 3.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Conservative Labour Reform UK Green
Worthing West 28.4%26.5%25.7%10.7%
National averageUnited Kingdom 20.4%+8.0 24.3%+2.2 23.1%+2.7 10.4%+0.3

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population100,568
Median age48
Employment rate82.5%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Dr Beccy Cooper · Labour

In office since July 4, 2024. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 7.7 points.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 2.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Beccy Cooper Elected Labour 20,519 40.2
Peter Bottomley Conservative 16,570 32.5
Edmund Rooke Reform UK 7,562 14.8
Sonya Mallin Green 3,274 6.4
Morag Chugg Lib Dems 2,708 5.3
Kathryn Attwood Other 364 0.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Birmingham Hall Green and MoseleyLabour50%1.2-point gap
  2. Hertford and StortfordReform UK44%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative54%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated