Worsley and Eccles
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worsley and Eccles | 37.8% | 29.2% | 14.0% | 10.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+13.5 | 23.1%+6.1 | 20.4%−6.4 | 10.4%−0.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 107,900 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 39 |
| Employment rate | 73.3% |
Current member
Michael Wheeler · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 26.1 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 8.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wheeler Elected | Labour | 20,277 | 47.7 |
| Craig Birtwistle | Reform UK | 9,186 | 21.6 |
| Bradley Mitchell | Conservative | 6,791 | 16.0 |
| David Jones | Green | 3,283 | 7.7 |
| Jemma De Vincenzo | Lib Dems | 1,851 | 4.4 |
| Nas Barghouti | Other | 466 | 1.1 |
| Danny Moloney | Other | 448 | 1.1 |
| Sally Griffiths | Other | 241 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bolton South and Walkden Labour, toss-up
- Stretford and Urmston Labour, safe seat
- Salford Labour, safe seat
- Altrincham and Sale West Labour, toss-up
- Bolton North East Reform UK, toss-up
- Bury South Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated