Wolverhampton North East
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Reform UK a 85% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 94%.
Compared with the average
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton North East | 33.2% | 30.9% | 22.7% | 7.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 23.1%+10.1 | 24.3%+6.7 | 20.4%+2.2 | 10.4%−2.7 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 105,811 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 38 |
| Employment rate | 74.0% |
Current member
Sureena Brackenridge · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 16.3 points.
Our current projection: Reform UK ahead by 2.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sureena Brackenridge Elected | Labour | 14,282 | 42.9 |
| Jane Stevenson | Conservative | 8,860 | 26.6 |
| Paul Williams | Reform UK | 7,721 | 23.2 |
| Kwaku Tano-Yeboah | Green | 1,424 | 4.3 |
| Peter Thornton | Lib Dems | 1,002 | 3.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Wolverhampton South East Labour, toss-up
- Tipton and Wednesbury Reform UK, safe seat
- Wolverhampton West Labour, safe seat
- Dudley Reform UK, safe seat
- Walsall and Bloxwich Reform UK, toss-up
- West Bromwich Labour, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated