West Bromwich
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 79%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich | 33.9% | 30.6% | 17.2% | 8.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+9.7 | 23.1%+7.5 | 20.4%−3.2 | 10.4%−1.5 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 111,975 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 37 |
| Employment rate | 67.6% |
Current member
Sarah Coombes · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 26.2 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 3.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Coombes Elected | Labour | 16,872 | 46.3 |
| Will Goodhand | Conservative | 7,318 | 20.1 |
| Ray Nock | Reform UK | 7,101 | 19.5 |
| Gita Joshi | Green | 2,036 | 5.6 |
| Mohammed Yasin | Other | 1,707 | 4.7 |
| Parmjit Gill | Lib Dems | 1,314 | 3.6 |
| Sam Harding | Other | 133 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Smethwick Labour, safe seat
- Tipton and Wednesbury Reform UK, safe seat
- Walsall and Bloxwich Reform UK, toss-up
- Birmingham Edgbaston Labour, safe seat
- Wolverhampton South East Labour, toss-up
- Birmingham Perry Barr Other, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated