Woking
Westminster constituency · England · South East
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Lib Dems a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woking | 47.8% | 22.5% | 16.1% | 6.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 10.3%+37.5 | 20.4%+2.1 | 23.1%−7.0 | 10.4%−4.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 104,179 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 40 |
| Employment rate | 82.4% |
Current member
Mr Will Forster · Lib Dems
Previous election (2024)
The Lib Dems won by 23.4 points.
Our current projection: the Lib Dems ahead by 25.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Forster Elected | Lib Dems | 24,019 | 49.9 |
| Jonathan Lord | Conservative | 12,773 | 26.5 |
| Richard Barker | Reform UK | 4,888 | 10.2 |
| Ese Erheriene | Labour | 4,444 | 9.2 |
| Nataly Anderson | Green | 1,853 | 3.9 |
| Tim Read | Other | 168 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Guildford Lib Dems, safe seat
- Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative, safe seat
- Surrey Heath Lib Dems, safe seat
- Spelthorne Conservative, toss-up
- Windsor Conservative, safe seat
- Godalming and Ash Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated