Windsor
Westminster constituency · England · South East
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Lib Dems | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Windsor | 33.7% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+13.2 | 10.3%+7.7 | 23.1%−5.7 | 24.3%−8.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 111,585 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 40 |
| Employment rate | 73.5% |
Current member
Jack Rankin · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 14.3 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 15.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Rankin Elected | Conservative | 16,483 | 36.4 |
| Pavitar Mann | Labour | 10,026 | 22.2 |
| Julian Tisi | Lib Dems | 9,539 | 21.1 |
| Harl Grewal | Reform UK | 4,660 | 10.3 |
| Michael Boyle | Green | 2,288 | 5.1 |
| David Buckley | Other | 1,629 | 3.6 |
| Simran Dhillon | Other | 621 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Slough Labour, toss-up
- Beaconsfield Conservative, safe seat
- Spelthorne Conservative, toss-up
- Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative, safe seat
- Woking Lib Dems, safe seat
- Surrey Heath Lib Dems, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated