Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Slough

Westminster constituency · England · South East

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 84%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 27.2%
  • Other 23.9%
  • Reform UK 17.6%
  • Conservative 16.5%
  • Green 9.9%
  • Lib Dems 4.6%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Other Reform UK Conservative
Slough 27.2%23.9%17.6%16.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom 24.3%+2.9 5.0%+18.9 23.1%−5.5 20.4%−3.9

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population138,160
Median age35
Employment rate77.2%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Mr Tanmanjeet Singh Dhesi · Labour

In office since June 8, 2017. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 1.8 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 3.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Tan Dhesi Elected Labour 14,666 33.9
Azhard Chohan Other 11,019 25.5
Moni Kaur Nanda Conservative 7,457 17.2
Robin Jackson Reform UK 3,352 7.8
Chelsea Whyte Lib Dems 2,060 4.8
Julian Edmonds Green 1,873 4.3
Adnan Shabbir Other 1,105 2.6
Chandra Muvvala Other 995 2.3
Diana Coad Other 402 0.9
Jaswinder Singh Other 204 0.5
Nick Smith Other 145 0.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Birmingham Hall Green and MoseleyLabour50%1.2-point gap
  2. Hertford and StortfordReform UK44%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative54%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated