Widnes and Halewood
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widnes and Halewood | 49.9% | 27.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+25.6 | 23.1%+3.9 | 10.4%−2.0 | 20.4%−12.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 92,808 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 41 |
| Employment rate | 78.2% |
Current member
Derek Twigg · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 43.1 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 22.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Twigg Elected | Labour | 23,484 | 61.6 |
| Jake Fraser | Reform UK | 7,059 | 18.5 |
| Sean Houlston | Conservative | 3,507 | 9.2 |
| Nancy Mills | Green | 2,058 | 5.4 |
| David Coveney | Lib Dems | 1,593 | 4.2 |
| Michael Murphy | Other | 415 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- St Helens South and Whiston Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Garston Labour, safe seat
- Runcorn and Helsby Labour, safe seat
- Knowsley Labour, safe seat
- Ellesmere Port and Bromborough Labour, safe seat
- St Helens North Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated