Knowsley
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 28.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knowsley | 53.8% | 25.8% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+29.6 | 23.1%+2.8 | 10.4%−0.4 | 20.4%−16.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 95,466 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 38 |
| Employment rate | 67.5% |
Current member
Anneliese Midgley · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 50.8 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 28.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anneliese Midgley Elected | Labour | 24,243 | 67.3 |
| Alexander Hitchmough | Reform UK | 5,924 | 16.4 |
| Graham Wickens | Green | 2,772 | 7.7 |
| Sherrie McDaid | Conservative | 1,496 | 4.1 |
| Kate Tipton | Lib Dems | 1,232 | 3.4 |
| Graham Padden | Other | 245 | 0.7 |
| Patricia Jameson | Other | 135 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Liverpool West Derby Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Walton Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Garston Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Wavertree Labour, safe seat
- Widnes and Halewood Labour, safe seat
- West Lancashire Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated