Liverpool Walton
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 32.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Walton | 56.5% | 24.1% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+32.3 | 23.1%+1.1 | 10.4%−1.1 | 20.4%−16.5 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 101,915 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 38 |
| Employment rate | 71.0% |
Current member
Dan Carden · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 54.9 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 32.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Carden Elected | Labour | 26,032 | 70.6 |
| Joe Doran | Reform UK | 5,787 | 15.7 |
| Martyn Madeley | Green | 2,388 | 6.5 |
| Emma Ware | Conservative | 1,282 | 3.5 |
| Sean Cadwallader | Lib Dems | 945 | 2.6 |
| Billy Lake | Other | 452 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Liverpool West Derby Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Riverside Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Wavertree Labour, safe seat
- Bootle Labour, safe seat
- Knowsley Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Garston Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated