Liverpool Riverside
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 28.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Riverside | 49.2% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 4.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+24.9 | 10.4%+10.4 | 23.1%−5.7 | 10.3%−5.6 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 123,703 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 28 |
| Employment rate | 66.5% |
Current member
Kim Johnson · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 45.7 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 28.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Johnson Elected | Labour | 20,039 | 61.9 |
| Chris Coughlan | Green | 5,246 | 16.2 |
| Gary Hincks | Reform UK | 3,272 | 10.1 |
| Rebecca Turner | Lib Dems | 1,544 | 4.8 |
| Jane Austin | Conservative | 1,155 | 3.6 |
| Roger Bannister | Other | 622 | 1.9 |
| Sean Weaver | Other | 256 | 0.8 |
| Stephen McNally | Other | 247 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Liverpool Wavertree Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Walton Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool West Derby Labour, safe seat
- Bootle Labour, safe seat
- Birkenhead Labour, safe seat
- Wallasey Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated