Wallasey
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallasey | 46.2% | 24.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+22.0 | 23.1%+1.5 | 10.4%+0.8 | 20.4%−10.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 96,852 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 43 |
| Employment rate | 76.5% |
Current member
Dame Angela Eagle · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 42.1 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 21.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Eagle Elected | Labour | 24,674 | 57.7 |
| David Burgess-Joyce | Reform UK | 6,678 | 15.6 |
| Robbie Lammas | Conservative | 4,987 | 11.7 |
| Jane Turner | Green | 3,905 | 9.1 |
| Vicky Downie | Lib Dems | 1,843 | 4.3 |
| Philip Bimpson | Other | 462 | 1.1 |
| Ian Pugh | Other | 197 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Birkenhead Labour, safe seat
- Bootle Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Riverside Labour, safe seat
- Wirral West Labour, safe seat
- Sefton Central Labour, safe seat
- Liverpool Wavertree Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated