Wetherby and Easingwold
Westminster constituency · England · Yorkshire and the Humber
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wetherby and Easingwold | 37.1% | 22.0% | 21.2% | 11.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+16.7 | 24.3%−2.3 | 23.1%−1.9 | 10.4%+0.8 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 92,325 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 49 |
| Employment rate | 72.1% |
Current member
Sir Alec Shelbrooke · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 9.3 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 14.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Shelbrooke Elected | Conservative | 20,597 | 39.4 |
| Ben Pickles | Labour | 15,751 | 30.1 |
| Mike Jordan | Reform UK | 7,288 | 13.9 |
| Arnold Warneken | Green | 4,529 | 8.7 |
| James Monaghan | Lib Dems | 3,351 | 6.4 |
| John Hall | Other | 743 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Harrogate and Knaresborough Lib Dems, safe seat
- York Central Labour, safe seat
- Leeds East Labour, safe seat
- York Outer Labour, safe seat
- Leeds North East Labour, safe seat
- Selby Reform UK, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated