Wellingborough and Rushden
Westminster constituency · England · East Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Reform UK a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 16%.
Compared with the average
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellingborough and Rushden | 33.1% | 26.0% | 23.4% | 10.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 23.1%+10.1 | 24.3%+1.8 | 20.4%+3.0 | 10.4%−0.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 113,555 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 40 |
| Employment rate | 71.3% |
Current member
Gen Kitchen · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 12.5 points.
Our current projection: Reform UK ahead by 7.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gen Kitchen Elected | Labour | 17,734 | 40.3 |
| David Goss | Conservative | 12,248 | 27.9 |
| Ben Habib | Reform UK | 9,456 | 21.5 |
| Paul Mannion | Green | 2,704 | 6.2 |
| Christopher Townsend | Lib Dems | 1,570 | 3.6 |
| Jeremy Brittin | Other | 273 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Kettering Reform UK, toss-up
- Corby and East Northamptonshire Labour, toss-up
- Milton Keynes North Labour, toss-up
- Bedford Labour, safe seat
- Northampton North Labour, competitive
- North Bedfordshire Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated