Milton Keynes North
Westminster constituency · England · South East
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 69%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes North | 31.0% | 26.9% | 22.7% | 10.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+6.7 | 20.4%+6.5 | 23.1%−0.4 | 10.4%+0.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 100,650 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 40 |
| Employment rate | 78.1% |
Current member
Chris Curtis · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 11.8 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 4.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Curtis Elected | Labour | 19,318 | 42.0 |
| Ben Everitt | Conservative | 13,888 | 30.2 |
| Jane Duckworth | Reform UK | 6,164 | 13.4 |
| Clare Tevlin | Lib Dems | 3,365 | 7.3 |
| Alan Francis | Green | 3,242 | 7.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Milton Keynes Central Labour, competitive
- Northampton South Reform UK, toss-up
- Northampton North Labour, competitive
- Buckingham and Bletchley Conservative, toss-up
- Wellingborough and Rushden Reform UK, competitive
- South Northamptonshire Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated