Tottenham
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 45.8% | 24.2% | 11.5% | 7.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+21.6 | 10.4%+13.8 | 23.1%−11.6 | 5.0%+2.6 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 136,237 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 34 |
| Employment rate | 66.2% |
Current member
Mr David Lammy · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 38.4 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 21.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Lammy Elected | Labour | 23,066 | 57.5 |
| David Craig | Green | 7,632 | 19.0 |
| Nandita Lal | Other | 2,348 | 5.8 |
| Attic Rahman | Conservative | 2,320 | 5.8 |
| Hari Prabu | Lib Dems | 1,928 | 4.8 |
| Roger Gravett | Reform UK | 1,602 | 4.0 |
| Jennifer Obaseki | Other | 659 | 1.6 |
| Andrew Miles | Other | 306 | 0.8 |
| Amelia Allao | Other | 224 | 0.6 |
| Pamela Holmes | Other | 63 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hackney North and Stoke Newington Labour, safe seat
- Islington North Other, safe seat
- Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour, safe seat
- Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour, safe seat
- Walthamstow Labour, safe seat
- Islington South and Finsbury Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated