Walthamstow
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walthamstow | 49.0% | 24.0% | 11.4% | 6.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+24.8 | 10.4%+13.6 | 23.1%−11.7 | 5.0%+1.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 121,662 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 35 |
| Employment rate | 81.5% |
Current member
Ms Stella Creasy · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 39.4 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 25.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stella Creasy Elected | Labour | 27,172 | 59.5 |
| Rosalind Rowlands | Green | 9,176 | 20.1 |
| Sanjana Karnani | Conservative | 2,353 | 5.2 |
| Martin Lonergan | Reform UK | 1,836 | 4.0 |
| Rebecca Taylor | Lib Dems | 1,736 | 3.8 |
| Imran Arshad | Other | 1,535 | 3.4 |
| Mohammed Ashfaq | Other | 914 | 2.0 |
| Nancy Taaffe | Other | 561 | 1.2 |
| Dan Edelstyn | Other | 288 | 0.6 |
| Ruth Rawlins | Other | 97 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hackney North and Stoke Newington Labour, safe seat
- Leyton and Wanstead Labour, safe seat
- Stratford and Bow Labour, safe seat
- Chingford and Woodford Green Conservative, safe seat
- Tottenham Labour, safe seat
- Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated