Hackney North and Stoke Newington
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 23.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hackney North and Stoke Newington | 49.2% | 26.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+24.9 | 10.4%+15.6 | 23.1%−13.6 | 20.4%−12.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 116,638 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 32 |
| Employment rate | 78.6% |
Current member
Ms Diane Abbott · Independent
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 36.8 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 23.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diane Abbott Elected | Labour | 24,355 | 59.5 |
| Antoinette Fernandez | Green | 9,275 | 22.6 |
| David Landau | Conservative | 3,457 | 8.4 |
| Rebecca Jones | Lib Dems | 1,562 | 3.8 |
| Deborah Cairns | Reform UK | 1,283 | 3.1 |
| Ryan Ahmad | Other | 621 | 1.5 |
| Knigel Knapp | Other | 224 | 0.5 |
| Kombat Diva | Other | 182 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour, safe seat
- Tottenham Labour, safe seat
- Bethnal Green and Stepney Labour, toss-up
- Walthamstow Labour, safe seat
- Islington South and Finsbury Labour, safe seat
- Islington North Other, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated