Islington North
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives another party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Other | Labour | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islington North | 44.8% | 27.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 5.0%+39.8 | 24.3%+3.4 | 10.4%−0.5 | 23.1%−14.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 110,100 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 33 |
| Employment rate | 74.8% |
Current member
Jeremy Corbyn · Independent
Previous election (2024)
Another party won by 14.9 points.
Our current projection: another party ahead by 17.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Corbyn Elected | Other | 24,120 | 49.2 |
| Praful Nargund | Labour | 16,873 | 34.4 |
| Sheridan Kates | Green | 2,660 | 5.4 |
| Karen Harries | Conservative | 1,950 | 4.0 |
| Martyn Nelson | Reform UK | 1,710 | 3.5 |
| Vikas Aggarwal | Lib Dems | 1,661 | 3.4 |
| Paul Josling | Other | 32 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Islington South and Finsbury Labour, safe seat
- Holborn and St Pancras Labour, safe seat
- Tottenham Labour, safe seat
- Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour, safe seat
- Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour, safe seat
- Cities of London and Westminster Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated