The Wrekin
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a 77% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.9 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 97%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Wrekin | 29.5% | 28.1% | 21.9% | 9.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+9.1 | 23.1%+5.0 | 24.3%−2.3 | 10.4%−0.9 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 110,094 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 42 |
| Employment rate | 77.2% |
Current member
Mark Pritchard · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 1.8 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 1.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Pritchard Elected | Conservative | 16,320 | 32.6 |
| Roh Yakobi | Labour | 15,437 | 30.9 |
| Richard Leppington | Reform UK | 9,920 | 19.8 |
| Anthony Lowe | Lib Dems | 4,757 | 9.5 |
| Pat McCarthy | Green | 3,028 | 6.1 |
| Chris Shipley | Other | 558 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Telford Reform UK, competitive
- Stafford Reform UK, toss-up
- Newcastle-under-Lyme Reform UK, toss-up
- North Shropshire Lib Dems, safe seat
- Crewe and Nantwich Labour, toss-up
- Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated