Kingswinford and South Staffordshire
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 45%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingswinford and South Staffordshire | 36.0% | 30.7% | 18.4% | 7.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+15.5 | 23.1%+7.6 | 24.3%−5.8 | 10.4%−3.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 89,388 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 49 |
| Employment rate | 79.8% |
Current member
Mike Wood · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 14.0 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 5.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Wood Elected | Conservative | 18,199 | 40.3 |
| Sally Benton | Labour | 11,896 | 26.3 |
| Gary Dale | Reform UK | 9,928 | 22.0 |
| Gully Bansal | Lib Dems | 2,080 | 4.6 |
| Claire McIlvenna | Green | 2,077 | 4.6 |
| Shaz Saleem | Other | 1,000 | 2.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Wolverhampton West Labour, safe seat
- Dudley Reform UK, safe seat
- Stourbridge Reform UK, toss-up
- Wolverhampton North East Reform UK, toss-up
- Wolverhampton South East Labour, toss-up
- Tipton and Wednesbury Reform UK, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated