Stourbridge
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Reform UK a 95% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 79%.
Compared with the average
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | 30.6% | 26.4% | 26.3% | 7.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 23.1%+7.6 | 24.3%+2.2 | 20.4%+5.9 | 10.4%−2.5 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 92,974 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 42 |
| Employment rate | 83.4% |
Current member
Cat Eccles · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 7.7 points.
Our current projection: Reform UK ahead by 3.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cat Eccles Elected | Labour | 15,338 | 38.5 |
| Suzanne Webb | Conservative | 12,265 | 30.8 |
| Richard Shaw | Reform UK | 7,869 | 19.7 |
| Stephen Price | Green | 1,732 | 4.3 |
| Christopher Bramall | Lib Dems | 1,607 | 4.0 |
| Mohammed Ramzan | Other | 1,067 | 2.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Halesowen Reform UK, toss-up
- Dudley Reform UK, safe seat
- Tipton and Wednesbury Reform UK, safe seat
- Wolverhampton South East Labour, toss-up
- Smethwick Labour, safe seat
- West Bromwich Labour, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated