Taunton and Wellington
Westminster constituency · England · South West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Lib Dems a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taunton and Wellington | 44.4% | 23.0% | 20.3% | 6.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 10.3%+34.1 | 23.1% | 20.4%−0.1 | 10.4%−4.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 109,336 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 43 |
| Employment rate | 80.4% |
Current member
Gideon Amos · Lib Dems
Previous election (2024)
The Lib Dems won by 23.7 points.
Our current projection: the Lib Dems ahead by 21.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Amos Elected | Lib Dems | 24,331 | 48.4 |
| Rebecca Pow | Conservative | 12,392 | 24.6 |
| Charles Hansard | Reform UK | 8,053 | 16.0 |
| Brenda Weston | Labour | 3,552 | 7.1 |
| Ryan Trower | Green | 1,832 | 3.6 |
| Rochelle Russell | Other | 134 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bridgwater Reform UK, toss-up
- Honiton and Sidmouth Lib Dems, safe seat
- Tiverton and Minehead Lib Dems, safe seat
- Yeovil Lib Dems, safe seat
- Weston-super-Mare Reform UK, toss-up
- Cardiff South and Penarth Labour, competitive
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated