Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Honiton and Sidmouth

Westminster constituency · England · South West

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Lib Dems a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.2 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Lib Dems 38.8%
  • Conservative 26.6%
  • Reform UK 22.1%
  • Green 5.9%
  • Labour 3.2%
  • Other 3.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Lib Dems Conservative Reform UK Green
Honiton and Sidmouth 38.8%26.6%22.1%5.9%
National averageUnited Kingdom 10.3%+28.5 20.4%+6.1 23.1%−1.0 10.4%−4.5

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population92,665
Median age53
Employment rate83.3%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Richard Foord · Lib Dems

In office since June 23, 2022. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Lib Dems won by 13.2 points.

Our current projection: the Lib Dems ahead by 12.2 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Richard Foord Elected Lib Dems 23,007 45.4
Simon Jupp Conservative 16,307 32.2
Paul Quickenden Reform UK 6,289 12.4
Jake Bonetta Labour 2,947 5.8
Henry Gent Green 1,394 2.8
Vanessa Coxon Other 467 0.9
Hazel Exon Other 244 0.5

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Birmingham Hall Green and MoseleyLabour50%1.2-point gap
  2. Hertford and StortfordReform UK44%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative54%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated