Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | 39.3% | 23.9% | 15.9% | 8.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+18.9 | 24.3%−0.4 | 23.1%−7.1 | 10.4%−2.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 93,775 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 47 |
| Employment rate | 70.3% |
Current member
Sir Gavin Williamson · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 12.8 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 15.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williamson Elected | Conservative | 19,880 | 46.5 |
| Jacqueline Brown | Labour | 14,414 | 33.7 |
| Sam Harper-Wallis | Lib Dems | 2,952 | 6.9 |
| Janice MacKay | Other | 2,638 | 6.2 |
| Danni Braine | Green | 2,236 | 5.2 |
| Alexander Bramham | Other | 650 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Cannock Chase Reform UK, safe seat
- Wolverhampton North East Reform UK, toss-up
- Stoke-on-Trent South Reform UK, toss-up
- Wolverhampton West Labour, safe seat
- Stafford Reform UK, toss-up
- Wolverhampton South East Labour, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated