Southgate and Wood Green
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southgate and Wood Green | 40.9% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+16.7 | 20.4%−4.0 | 10.4%+5.4 | 23.1%−8.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 127,370 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 38 |
| Employment rate | 76.7% |
Current member
Bambos Charalambous · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 33.5 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 24.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bambos Charalambous Elected | Labour | 23,337 | 51.1 |
| Eric Sukumaran | Conservative | 8,037 | 17.6 |
| Charith Gunawardena | Green | 5,607 | 12.3 |
| Lauren Fulbright | Lib Dems | 3,925 | 8.6 |
| Lucy O'Sullivan | Reform UK | 3,147 | 6.9 |
| Geoff Moseley | Other | 833 | 1.8 |
| Karl Vidol | Other | 785 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Enfield North Labour, safe seat
- Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour, safe seat
- Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour, safe seat
- Tottenham Labour, safe seat
- Finchley and Golders Green Conservative, toss-up
- Chipping Barnet Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated