Enfield North
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enfield North | 37.7% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 12.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+13.4 | 23.1%−2.5 | 20.4%−2.2 | 10.4%+2.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 126,898 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 36 |
| Employment rate | 71.3% |
Current member
Feryal Clark · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 29.3 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 17.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feryal Clark Elected | Labour | 21,368 | 49.1 |
| Chris Dey | Conservative | 8,632 | 19.8 |
| Stephen Bird | Reform UK | 5,146 | 11.8 |
| Isobel Whittaker | Green | 3,713 | 8.5 |
| Guy Russo | Lib Dems | 2,517 | 5.8 |
| Ertan Karpazli | Other | 1,448 | 3.3 |
| Aishat Anifowoshe | Other | 668 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour, safe seat
- Southgate and Wood Green Labour, safe seat
- Tottenham Labour, safe seat
- Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour, safe seat
- Walthamstow Labour, safe seat
- Islington North Other, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated