Finchley and Golders Green
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a 93% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 70%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finchley and Golders Green | 32.7% | 29.0% | 15.1% | 11.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+12.2 | 24.3%+4.7 | 23.1%−8.0 | 10.4%+1.5 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 125,951 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 38 |
| Employment rate | 75.2% |
Current member
Sarah Sackman · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 9.3 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 3.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Sackman Elected | Labour | 21,857 | 44.3 |
| Alex Deane | Conservative | 17,276 | 35.0 |
| Sarah Hoyle | Lib Dems | 3,375 | 6.8 |
| Steve Parsons | Green | 3,107 | 6.3 |
| Giuseppe Pezzulli | Reform UK | 2,598 | 5.3 |
| Brendan Patrick Donnelly | Other | 486 | 1.0 |
| Katharine Margaret Murphy | Other | 318 | 0.6 |
| Michael Shad | Other | 272 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hampstead and Highgate Labour, safe seat
- Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour, safe seat
- Chipping Barnet Conservative, toss-up
- Hendon Conservative, toss-up
- Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour, safe seat
- Holborn and St Pancras Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated