Hampstead and Highgate
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Conservative | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampstead and Highgate | 39.7% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 11.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+15.4 | 10.4%+7.2 | 20.4%−3.2 | 10.3%+0.9 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 118,855 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 36 |
| Employment rate | 73.3% |
Current member
Tulip Siddiq · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 30.8 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 21.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulip Siddiq Elected | Labour | 23,432 | 48.3 |
| Don Williams | Conservative | 8,462 | 17.4 |
| Lorna Russell | Green | 6,630 | 13.7 |
| Scott Emery | Lib Dems | 6,181 | 12.7 |
| Catherine Becker | Reform UK | 2,940 | 6.1 |
| Christie Elan-Cane | Other | 532 | 1.1 |
| Jonathan Livingstone | Other | 373 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Holborn and St Pancras Labour, safe seat
- Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour, safe seat
- Finchley and Golders Green Conservative, toss-up
- Cities of London and Westminster Conservative, toss-up
- Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour, safe seat
- Islington North Other, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated