Queen's Park and Maida Vale
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's Park and Maida Vale | 43.4% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+19.1 | 10.4%+7.5 | 23.1%−10.2 | 20.4%−8.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 123,834 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 35 |
| Employment rate | 74.8% |
Current member
Georgia Gould · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 38.9 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 25.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Gould Elected | Labour | 20,126 | 52.5 |
| Vivien Lichtenstein | Green | 5,213 | 13.6 |
| Samia Hersi | Conservative | 5,088 | 13.3 |
| Helen Baxter | Lib Dems | 3,417 | 8.9 |
| Angela Carter-Begbie | Reform UK | 2,106 | 5.5 |
| Irakli Menabde | Other | 1,792 | 4.7 |
| Abdulla Dharamsi | Other | 601 | 1.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Kensington and Bayswater Labour, toss-up
- Brent East Labour, safe seat
- Chelsea and Fulham Conservative, safe seat
- Hampstead and Highgate Labour, safe seat
- Ealing Central and Acton Labour, safe seat
- Finchley and Golders Green Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated