Ealing Central and Acton
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ealing Central and Acton | 38.4% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 12.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+14.2 | 20.4%−3.5 | 10.4%+4.4 | 23.1%−10.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 134,291 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 35 |
| Employment rate | 71.6% |
Current member
Dr Rupa Huq · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 29.3 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 21.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rupa Huq Elected | Labour | 22,340 | 46.8 |
| James Windsor-Clive | Conservative | 8,345 | 17.5 |
| Alastair Mitton | Lib Dems | 6,056 | 12.7 |
| Kate Crossland | Green | 5,444 | 11.4 |
| Felix Orrell | Reform UK | 3,105 | 6.5 |
| Nada Jarche | Other | 1,766 | 3.7 |
| Stephen Balogh | Other | 410 | 0.9 |
| Julie Carter | Other | 303 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour, safe seat
- Brent East Labour, safe seat
- Richmond Park Lib Dems, safe seat
- Brent West Labour, toss-up
- Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour, safe seat
- Brentford and Isleworth Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated