Brentford and Isleworth
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford and Isleworth | 33.8% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 13.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+9.5 | 20.4%+1.0 | 23.1%−6.8 | 10.4%+2.7 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 129,198 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 37 |
| Employment rate | 77.3% |
Current member
Ruth Cadbury · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 21.7 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 12.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ruth Cadbury Elected | Labour | 20,007 | 44.2 |
| Laura Blumenthal | Conservative | 10,183 | 22.5 |
| Freya Summersgill | Green | 4,029 | 8.9 |
| David Kerr | Reform UK | 3,940 | 8.7 |
| Kuldev Sehra | Lib Dems | 3,863 | 8.5 |
| Nisar Malik | Other | 2,746 | 6.1 |
| Zebunisa Rao | Other | 486 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Richmond Park Lib Dems, safe seat
- Twickenham Lib Dems, safe seat
- Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour, safe seat
- Ealing Southall Labour, safe seat
- Ealing Central and Acton Labour, safe seat
- Ealing North Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated