Twickenham
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Lib Dems a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 37.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twickenham | 52.3% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 10.3%+42.0 | 20.4%−5.8 | 23.1%−10.1 | 24.3%−15.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 107,054 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 42 |
| Employment rate | 74.6% |
Current member
Munira Wilson · Lib Dems
Previous election (2024)
The Lib Dems won by 40.0 points.
Our current projection: the Lib Dems ahead by 37.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Munira Wilson Elected | Lib Dems | 30,185 | 56.3 |
| Jonathan Hulley | Conservative | 8,728 | 16.3 |
| Tom Bruce | Labour | 6,693 | 12.5 |
| Alex Starling | Reform UK | 4,092 | 7.6 |
| Chantal Kerr-Sheppard | Green | 3,590 | 6.7 |
| Umair Malik | Other | 347 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brentford and Isleworth Labour, safe seat
- Richmond Park Lib Dems, safe seat
- Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour, safe seat
- Kingston and Surbiton Lib Dems, safe seat
- Ealing Southall Labour, safe seat
- Feltham and Heston Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated