Hammersmith and Chiswick
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammersmith and Chiswick | 42.8% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+18.6 | 20.4%−2.2 | 10.4%+3.2 | 23.1%−10.8 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 116,739 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 36 |
| Employment rate | 76.1% |
Current member
Andy Slaughter · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 33.2 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 24.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Slaughter Elected | Labour | 24,073 | 52.3 |
| Andrew Dinsmore | Conservative | 8,783 | 19.1 |
| Naranee Ruthra-Rajan | Green | 4,468 | 9.7 |
| Eraj Rostaqi | Lib Dems | 4,292 | 9.3 |
| Louise Petano-Heathcote | Reform UK | 2,929 | 6.4 |
| Bill Colegrave | Other | 821 | 1.8 |
| Raj Gill | Other | 439 | 1.0 |
| Scott Dore | Other | 216 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Richmond Park Lib Dems, safe seat
- Ealing Central and Acton Labour, safe seat
- Brentford and Isleworth Labour, safe seat
- Twickenham Lib Dems, safe seat
- Ealing Southall Labour, safe seat
- Putney Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated