Chelsea and Fulham
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 9%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea and Fulham | 35.9% | 27.6% | 14.2% | 12.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+15.5 | 24.3%+3.3 | 23.1%−8.9 | 10.4%+1.9 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 120,921 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 35 |
| Employment rate | 60.3% |
Current member
Ben Coleman · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 0.3 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 8.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Coleman Elected | Labour | 18,556 | 39.4 |
| Greg Hands | Conservative | 18,404 | 39.1 |
| Blaise Baquiche | Lib Dems | 3,611 | 7.7 |
| Anthony Goodwin | Reform UK | 3,144 | 6.7 |
| Mona Crocker | Green | 2,798 | 5.9 |
| Sabi Patwary | Other | 538 | 1.1 |
| David Poulden | Other | 65 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Kensington and Bayswater Labour, toss-up
- Battersea Labour, safe seat
- Putney Labour, safe seat
- Tooting Labour, safe seat
- Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour, safe seat
- Cities of London and Westminster Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated