Tooting
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tooting | 45.4% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+21.2 | 20.4%−2.2 | 10.4%+3.9 | 23.1%−12.6 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 106,875 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 33 |
| Employment rate | 87.0% |
Current member
Dr Rosena Allin-Khan · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 36.8 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 27.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosena Allin-Khan Elected | Labour | 29,209 | 55.2 |
| Ethan Brooks | Conservative | 9,722 | 18.4 |
| Nick Humberstone | Green | 5,672 | 10.7 |
| Judith Trounson | Lib Dems | 4,438 | 8.4 |
| Andrew Price | Reform UK | 2,546 | 4.8 |
| Tarik Hussain | Other | 807 | 1.5 |
| Jas Alduk | Other | 370 | 0.7 |
| Davinder Jamus | Other | 179 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Battersea Labour, safe seat
- Mitcham and Morden Labour, safe seat
- Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour, safe seat
- Chelsea and Fulham Conservative, safe seat
- Putney Labour, safe seat
- Streatham and Croydon North Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated