Battersea
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battersea | 39.0% | 23.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+14.7 | 20.4%+2.6 | 10.4%+3.3 | 23.1%−12.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 110,258 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 32 |
| Employment rate | 84.4% |
Current member
Marsha De Cordova · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 25.6 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 16.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marsha De Cordova Elected | Labour | 22,983 | 48.8 |
| Tom Pridham | Conservative | 10,944 | 23.2 |
| Francis Chubb | Lib Dems | 4,826 | 10.2 |
| Joe Taylor | Green | 4,239 | 9.0 |
| Barry Edwards | Reform UK | 2,825 | 6.0 |
| Daniel Smith | Other | 499 | 1.1 |
| Georgina Burford-Connole | Other | 401 | 0.9 |
| Jake Thomas | Other | 216 | 0.5 |
| Ed Dampier | Other | 149 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Tooting Labour, safe seat
- Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour, safe seat
- Chelsea and Fulham Conservative, safe seat
- Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour, safe seat
- Cities of London and Westminster Conservative, toss-up
- Putney Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated