Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Streatham and Croydon North

Westminster constituency · England · London

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 42.6%
  • Green 20.5%
  • Conservative 11.9%
  • Reform UK 11.5%
  • Lib Dems 9.4%
  • Other 3.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Green Conservative Reform UK
Streatham and Croydon North 42.6%20.5%11.9%11.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom 24.3%+18.4 10.4%+10.1 20.4%−8.5 23.1%−11.6

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population118,791
Median age36
Employment rate81.7%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Steve Reed · Labour

In office since November 29, 2012. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 35.0 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 22.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Steve Reed Elected Labour 23,232 52.1
Scott Ainslie Green 7,629 17.1
Anthony Boutall Conservative 5,328 12.0
Claire Bonham Lib Dems 5,031 11.3
Philip Watson Reform UK 1,994 4.5
Waseem Sherwani Other 910 2.0
Magdaline Nzekwue Other 290 0.7
Myles Owen Other 139 0.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Birmingham Hall Green and MoseleyLabour50%1.2-point gap
  2. Hertford and StortfordReform UK44%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative54%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated