Dulwich and West Norwood
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dulwich and West Norwood | 50.3% | 22.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+26.1 | 10.4%+12.3 | 23.1%−13.3 | 20.4%−11.7 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 105,649 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 35 |
| Employment rate | 79.5% |
Current member
Helen Hayes · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 41.4 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 27.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Hayes Elected | Labour | 27,356 | 60.3 |
| Pete Elliott | Green | 8,567 | 18.9 |
| Leon Cook | Conservative | 3,873 | 8.5 |
| Donna Harris | Lib Dems | 3,485 | 7.7 |
| Gary Stevens | Reform UK | 1,801 | 4.0 |
| Mike Spenser | Other | 296 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Peckham Labour, safe seat
- Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour, safe seat
- Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour, safe seat
- Streatham and Croydon North Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour, safe seat
- Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated