Peckham
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peckham | 48.9% | 23.7% | 11.1% | 6.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+24.7 | 10.4%+13.3 | 23.1%−12.0 | 20.4%−14.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 110,204 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 33 |
| Employment rate | 61.9% |
Current member
Miatta Fahnbulleh · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 39.3 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 25.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miatta Fahnbulleh Elected | Labour | 22,813 | 58.8 |
| Claire Sheppard | Green | 7,585 | 19.6 |
| David Watson | Lib Dems | 2,724 | 7.0 |
| Ben Mascall | Conservative | 2,276 | 5.9 |
| Linda Purcell | Reform UK | 1,790 | 4.6 |
| Jennifer Blake | Other | 555 | 1.4 |
| Mariatu Kargbo | Other | 355 | 0.9 |
| Alex Kerr | Other | 285 | 0.7 |
| Olusola Oni | Other | 261 | 0.7 |
| Stefan Harvey | Other | 153 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour, safe seat
- Dulwich and West Norwood Labour, safe seat
- Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour, safe seat
- Bethnal Green and Stepney Labour, toss-up
- Greenwich and Woolwich Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated