Greenwich and Woolwich
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 26.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenwich and Woolwich | 45.0% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+20.7 | 10.4%+8.2 | 23.1%−10.2 | 20.4%−9.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 119,404 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 33 |
| Employment rate | 73.9% |
Current member
Matthew Pennycook · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 43.0 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 26.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Pennycook Elected | Labour | 23,999 | 56.2 |
| Stacy Smith | Green | 5,633 | 13.2 |
| Jonathan Goff | Conservative | 4,863 | 11.4 |
| Chris Annous | Lib Dems | 3,865 | 9.1 |
| Abdoul Aziz Ndiaye | Reform UK | 3,305 | 7.7 |
| Sheikh Raquib | Other | 570 | 1.3 |
| Niko Omilana | Other | 311 | 0.7 |
| Priyank Bakshi | Other | 173 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Lewisham North Labour, safe seat
- Poplar and Limehouse Labour, safe seat
- West Ham and Beckton Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour, safe seat
- Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham East Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated