Lewisham North
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 20.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewisham North | 47.3% | 26.4% | 10.2% | 6.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+23.0 | 10.4%+16.0 | 23.1%−12.9 | 20.4%−13.9 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 116,888 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 33 |
| Employment rate | 75.2% |
Current member
Vicky Foxcroft · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 35.7 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 20.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vicky Foxcroft Elected | Labour | 25,467 | 57.7 |
| Adam Pugh | Green | 9,685 | 21.9 |
| Jean Branch | Lib Dems | 3,284 | 7.4 |
| Nupur Majumdar | Conservative | 2,701 | 6.1 |
| Edward Powell | Reform UK | 2,000 | 4.5 |
| Mian Akbar | Other | 457 | 1.0 |
| Julia Tilford | Other | 243 | 0.6 |
| Oliver Snelling | Other | 211 | 0.5 |
| John Lloyd | Other | 119 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Greenwich and Woolwich Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham East Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour, safe seat
- Poplar and Limehouse Labour, safe seat
- Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour, safe seat
- West Ham and Beckton Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated