Lewisham East
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 29.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewisham East | 47.1% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 10.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+22.8 | 10.4%+7.3 | 23.1%−8.0 | 20.4%−9.7 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 116,182 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 37 |
| Employment rate | 70.5% |
Current member
Janet Daby · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 44.5 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 29.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Janet Daby Elected | Labour | 23,646 | 58.2 |
| Mike Herron | Green | 5,573 | 13.7 |
| Louise Brice | Conservative | 4,401 | 10.8 |
| Ruth Handyside | Reform UK | 3,469 | 8.5 |
| Callum Littlemore | Lib Dems | 2,471 | 6.1 |
| Steph Koffi | Other | 577 | 1.4 |
| Maureen Martin | Other | 404 | 1.0 |
| Richard Galloway | Other | 96 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Lewisham North Labour, safe seat
- Beckenham and Penge Labour, safe seat
- Greenwich and Woolwich Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour, safe seat
- Eltham and Chislehurst Labour, safe seat
- Poplar and Limehouse Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated