Beckenham and Penge
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckenham and Penge | 39.7% | 22.9% | 17.1% | 10.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+15.4 | 20.4%+2.4 | 23.1%−5.9 | 10.4%+0.5 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 106,866 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 40 |
| Employment rate | 73.1% |
Current member
Liam Conlon · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 24.7 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 16.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Conlon Elected | Labour | 25,753 | 49.3 |
| Hannah Gray | Conservative | 12,848 | 24.6 |
| Edward Apostolides | Reform UK | 5,355 | 10.3 |
| Chloe-Jane Ross | Lib Dems | 4,436 | 8.5 |
| Ruth Fabricant | Green | 3,830 | 7.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Croydon East Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham East Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour, safe seat
- Bromley and Biggin Hill Conservative, safe seat
- Lewisham North Labour, safe seat
- Croydon West Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated